Capital & Freedom · the Allocation Desk
A Monte Carlo engine for funded‑account maths. Describe a firm's rulebook and the way you trade — win rate, reward‑to‑risk, risk per trade, phase by phase — and it simulates thousands of candidates through the whole sequence: evaluation, buffer, winning days, payout. It gives you back the probability of passing, how many payouts to expect, what you will spend getting there, and the return on that spend.
This is the standard a quant desk applies before it allocates capital: not one backtest and a good feeling, but the full distribution of outcomes, stress‑tested against every rule that can close the account.
It is free, it runs in your browser, and nothing you type leaves your machine.
Each bar is a share of simulated candidates. Everything left of the zero line spent money on tickets and never collected a payout — that group is the honest part of this model, and it does not go away when you make the inputs prettier.
Everything here runs in your browser on the numbers in the fields above. This is the public version of the engine: the full Desk inside the programme also reads your NinjaTrader CSV, ranks thirty‑two firms against your own trades and sizes a fleet of accounts. It is a model, not a forecast: change an assumption you disagree with and the answer changes with it. Simulated performance is not indicative of future results.
It opens right here on this page — nothing to download, nothing to wait for. No call, no pitch on the way in.
We never share your details. One form, permanent access on this device.
How to read it
The probability of reaching the profit target before the drawdown closes the account — on one ticket. Almost everything you can change about your trading moves this number, and it moves less than people expect. Sizing buys you time, not edge.
The number that actually matters, and the one nobody publishes. Passing an evaluation is not getting paid: between the two sit a drawdown floor, a winning‑day requirement and a payout cadence, and each of them removes candidates.
Expected income divided by what you spent on tickets. This is the only figure that tells you whether buying evaluations is a business or a hobby — and it is why the price of a reset matters more than the size of the account.
Read the red bars, not the green ones. The bar sitting at minus the price of your tickets is the share of candidates who did everything right and collected nothing. On our own protocol that group is about four in ten. Any model that does not show you that bar is not a model, it is a brochure.
Where these numbers come from
Capital & Freedom is a platform that reads the order book, the big orders and the options market together and returns one verdict — and a four‑phase protocol that turns one good trade a day into funded accounts. Every figure we publish came out of the engine above.